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Still
Waters Run Deep:
A Market
Overview
By Arthur von Wiesenberger
Comedian Dennis Millernow of Monday Night Football
fameappeared in a recent TV commercial for long distance
telephone service where he questions how someone would pay a dollar
for a bottle of water. It's an old joke that even our parents
might get.
In the 1970s during the Perrier
boom, comedians teased the public about paying money for water
at all. It was well received by an older generation that grew
up believing American tap water was perfectly fit to drink-and
free. But their offspring grew up in a different America. Incidents
of contaminated tap water, deteriorating taste and the reality
that quality water didn't necessarily flow freely from our faucets
became the common public perception. Although Miller may joke
about bottled water, it's what he drinks at home.
No joke in this bottle
The U.S. bottled water marketwith $4.8 billion in sales
last yearis no laughing matter. Consumers are drinking more
bottled water than ever and the market is growing at a robust
10 percent per year (see Table 1).
But why does the consumer drink
bottled water? The market has radically changed in the past few
decades. Are those changes a result of consumer awareness, marketing
savvy or just plain human evolution?
Carbonated bottled water sales were
at their peak just before Perrier's 1990 voluntary worldwide recall
after traces of natural benzene were found in sparkling water
bottles.1 Although there was no health threat in the product
water and Perrier's handling of the situation was lauded, there
has since been a steady decline for carbonated bottled water.
Meanwhile, the "still"non-sparkling or uncarbonated
water category has exploded, especially in convenience-sized bottles
(see Table 2). Expanding at
over 30 percent per year, water bottled in PET plastic has propelled
the industry to new heights. Packaging innovations such as various
sports cap styles and wide-mouth and insulated bottles have only
added fuel to this aquatic fire.
Domestic & foreign rivals
Even two years ago, performance of leaders like Evian, Poland
Spring and Arrowhead would have made most industry observers conclude
that for success in the bottled water industry you needed three
things: a good spring, low-cost production and good distribution.
But, with the recent stellar success of Pepsi Cola's Aquafina,
the spring part of that formula may no longer hold water. Aquafina
is processed water made at Pepsi soft drink facilities. Coca-Cola's
Dasani product has jumped onto the processed bottled water bandwagon
with a slight twist-adding minerals to the water. This isn't a
new idea. Sparkletts has been selling processed water with added
minerals for decades. But when the cola giants put their water
products through their gargantuan distribution pipelines, it's
hard not to be successful. And this success has natural spring
bottled water marketers scratching their heads. Do springs really
matter to the American consumer?
The dilemma springs forth from the
roots of ownership of bottled water companies. Nestlé and
Danone own many of the major U.S. bottled water brands. These
Swiss and French food-and-beverage conglomerates have built their
water holdings based on unique, high quality springs. Europeans,
Asians and many other nations have a long history, respect and
reverence for natural spring waters. But in America, consumers
love new products and easy availability, even though they may
not completely understand what they're buying.
Jim Stevens, former president of
the Danone Water Group, believes about 25 percent of U.S. consumers
want spring water; the balance don't care as long as its in a
bottle. "Everybody wants a pure water solution. There are
people who want better taste while others take it very seriously
and want the purest water, other than the Brita-type solution"
of pour-through pitchers, he said.
U.S. consumers' water needs have
evolved (see Table 3). Brita-type
consumers tend to be younger with less disposable income. For
those in their 20s, processed water and inexpensive private labels
are popular as well as water packaged in PET containers. Professionals
in their 30s and 40s purchase recognized brands, often from spring
sources both domestic and imported and are also bigger consumers
of home and office 5-gallon water containers. Fixed income consumers
revert back to inexpensive water solutions where cost prevails
in the decision making process.
Doubting Thomases
John LaPides, president of Snow Valley Water Company, points out,
"Consumers want bottled water and generally think of it as
spring water but they're not as concerned as we think they are.
We've always sold spring water and make a big deal about it, but
my guess is that 25 percent of our customers don't believe it
even comes from a spring."
In an August 2000 bottled water
consumer survey,1 of those respondents that drink bottled water,
a majority said they drink it for the taste, 25 percent drink
it for the quality, while 19 percent drink it because it's convenient.
Still, although a majority drink
bottled water because of taste, quality and convenience, 59 percent
believe there's no difference between natural springs and processed
bottled water-even though 63 percent say they prefer spring water.
Regional preferences
On the West Coast, the leading brands consumed by respondents
were (in order of ranking): Arrowhead, Sparkletts, Crystal Geyser,
Dasani, Aquafina, Evian, Deja Blue and grocery store private labels.
In the Northeast, bottled waters in order of preference were:
Poland Spring, Evian, Naya and America's Choice. In the South,
the leaders were: Ozarka, Evian, Sparkletts, Dasani, store brands
and San Pellegrino.
Consumer descriptions for their
water's taste were:
-- Clean28 percent,
-- Refreshing26 percent,
-- Pure14 percent,
-- Neutral10 percent,
-- Good6 percent, and
-- Crisp, fresh, clear, smooth, no aftertaste and slight aftertaste2
percent each.
Cost and value
Is bottled water worth it? Seventy-eight percent think the price
of bottled water is fair. Spring water can cost the bottler more
than processed water if the spring is a long distance from the
bottling facility or from the market. The percentage of the selling
cost of spring water versus processed water is marginal. On a
$6.50, 5-gallon bottle of water, the cost of spring water is 17
cents, while the cost of processed water is 5 cents.
Therefore, is Aquafina better priced
than domestic bottled spring water? During a recent price scan
at the Vons grocery chain in California, a 1-liter bottle of Aquafina
was $0.99 while on the same shelf an Arrowhead Mountain Spring
1-liter was $0.69 and Crystal Geyser 1-liter was $0.59. Dasani
was a staggering $1.19 for a liter.
Packaging, leverage & fads
"Packaging has always driven growth in the beverage industry,"
said Stevens. He explains that the big growth in bottled water
is in the 12-, 24- and 36-packs, which are driven by higher levels
of consumption from heavy users. These larger multiples have been
seen in the past in the soft drink industry.
The future of the bottled water
business is slightly muddied by Aquafina and Dasani. The market
is already highly competitive and the current consolidation of
brands, such as the acquisition of Naya and Sparkletts by Danone
earlier this year, means there's less room for the smaller producers.
With soft drink giants flexing their distribution clout, even
larger producers are finding it hard to get shelf space in outlets
such as convenience stores, where Aquafina dominates the No. 1
positionas Pepsi leverages its beverage industry clout.
But ultimately, it's the consumer
who dictates what brands will float and which ones will sink.
It was only a few years ago that New York Seltzer was the darling
of the beverage industry and a formidable threat to the bottled
water producers. Yet overnight, the consumers changed their tastes
and New York Seltzer disappeared. This isn't to mention caffeinated
and oxygenated bottled water, both of which have faded as fads.
Conclusion
Presentation trends may change. Fads may come and go. But everyone
will continue to seek better quality drinking water and bottled
water will play a large role in that, showing continued growth
over the next decadeall concede.
Information also is still a key
ingredient in gaining consumers. Stevens believes the Internet
"will be important in an educational role as well as for
processing orders, billing and administrative services."
Through communication tools, bottlers can explain their points
of differences, the importance of proper hydration and advantageous
pricing opportunities.
"Our job is to educate and
inform the consumer about water, but it is an arduous journey
in which we've only taken the first few steps," said Jane
Lazgin, corporate communications director for the Perrier Group.
"A generation from now the American consumer may begin to
fully understand the true worth of bottled water."
References
1. Irvine, R.B., and D.P.
Millar, Crisis Management and Communication: How to Gain and Maintain
Control, IABC Strategic Communicator Series, International Association
of Business Communicators, San Francisco: www.crisisexperts.com/pub.htm
(see also www.phillipsfox.com.au/publications/pnid9512.htm and
www.bottledwater.org/public/PRRelMar99.htm)
2. Conducted by www.bottledwaterweb.com
with consumer interviews in the West, South and Northeast regions
of the United States.
About the author
Arthur von Weisenberger
is a consultant and author of magazine articles and four books
on bottled water. He's developed several websites and has consulted
for such beverage companies as Arrowhead, Chippewa Springs, Hawaiian
Natural Springs, Poland Springs Water and Ionics Inc. He graduated
from Brooks Institute in Santa Barbara, Calif., and is a managing
partner at Best Cellars L.L.C., developers of BottledWaterWeb.com.
He can be reached at (805) 969-3371, (805) 565-5669 (fax) or email:
avw@bottledwaterweb.com
Table 1.
U.S. bottled water market:
Non-sparkling, sparkling
and imports* |
|
Year
|
Non-sparkling
|
Sparkling
|
Imports
|
Total
|
| Volume |
Change |
Volume |
Change |
Volume
|
Change |
Volume |
Change |
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999 |
1987.7
2042.8
2163.4
2356.7
2623.1
2906.2
3178.5
3472.9
3839.1
4349.0
|
8.2%
2.8%
5.9%
8.9%
11.3%
10.8%
9.4%
9.3%
10.5%
13.3%
|
176.0
172.3
172.3
174.7
174.8
164.2
159.0
153.8
146.1
146.0
|
28.4%
-2.1%
0.0%
1.4%
0.1%
-6.1%
-3.2%
-3.3%
-5.0%
-0.1%
|
73.9
71.4
86.3
92.5
104.0
97.1
111.8
149.1
160.8
151.1
|
32.9%
-3.4%
20.9%
7.2%
12.5%
-6.7%
15.2%
33.1%
7.9%
-6.1%
|
2237.6
2286.5
2422.0
2623.9
2901.9
3167.5
3449.3
3775.8
4146.0
4646.1
|
10.3%
2.2%
5.9%
8.3%
10.6%
9.2%
8.9%
9.5%
9.8%
12.1%
|
| *
In millions of gallons |
|
|
SOURCE:
Beverage Marketing Corp.
|
Table
2. U.S. bottled water market:
Gallonage by segment1 |
|
Year
|
Domestic non-sparkling
|
Domestic sparkling
|
All imports
|
Total
|
|
Retail premium PET
|
Retail 1-2.5 gal. |
Direct delivery
/bulk 2
|
Vended
|
Subtotal
|
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999 |
186.8
194.3
230.0
287.1
379.1
465.3
580.2
750.0
975.7
1319.5
|
610.6
614.3
623.0
688.7
780.5
844.5
887.3
915.1
962.7
1042.6
|
955.9
961.9
986.5
1014.7
1055.0
1120.4
1202.1
1282.8
1359.8
1438.4
|
234.4
272.3
323.9
366.2
408.5
476.0
508.9
525.0
540.9
548.5
|
1987.7
2042.8
2163.4
2356.7
2623.1
2906.2
3178.5
3472.9
3839.1
4349.0
|
176.0
172.3
172.3
174.7
174.8
164.2
159.0
153.8
146.1
146.0
|
73.9
71.4
86.3
92.5
104.0
97.1
111.8
149.1
160.8
151.1
|
2237.6
2286.5
2422.0
2623.9
2901.9
3167.5
3449.3
3775.8
4146.0
4646.1
|
1
In millions of gallons.
|
2
Includes home & commercial delivered bulk water, plus
retail bulk (vended plastic and can packaged) waters. |
SOURCE:
Beverage Marketing Corp.
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Table 3. U.S.
Bottled Water Market:
Consumptionin gallons
per capita |
| Year |
'90
|
'91
|
'92
|
'93
|
'94
|
'95
|
'96
|
'97
|
'98
|
'99
|
| Per person |
9.0
|
9.1
|
9.5
|
10.3
|
11.3
|
12.0
|
13.0
|
14.0
|
15.3
|
17.0
|
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